Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.070945 0.079735 0.088734 0.098608 0.109107 0.119911 0.131840
2025-06-08 0.053748 0.066464 0.080181 0.095937 0.113401 0.132043 0.153327
2025-06-15 0.045142 0.060384 0.077521 0.097893 0.121151 0.146606 0.176308
2025-06-22 0.038328 0.055135 0.074749 0.098762 0.126850 0.158207 0.195420
2025-06-29 0.034949 0.053384 0.075551 0.103313 0.136382 0.173838 0.218827
2025-07-06 0.030294 0.049453 0.073249 0.103767 0.140794 0.183339 0.235042
2025-07-13 0.029665 0.050551 0.077029 0.111483 0.153750 0.202727 0.262652
2025-07-20 0.024864 0.045581 0.072754 0.108952 0.154137 0.207184 0.272771
2025-07-27 0.023254 0.044825 0.073775 0.112930 0.162352 0.220850 0.293641
2025-08-03 0.020689 0.042432 0.072429 0.113734 0.166537 0.229621 0.308688
2025-08-10 0.018538 0.040422 0.071430 0.114849 0.171007 0.238666 0.324018
2025-08-17 0.016463 0.038304 0.070116 0.115418 0.174690 0.246689 0.338080
2025-08-24 0.013213 0.034081 0.065796 0.112102 0.173708 0.249418 0.346366
2025-08-31 0.010539 0.030450 0.062098 0.109483 0.173567 0.253210 0.356046
2025-09-07 0.009334 0.029255 0.061914 0.111639 0.179606 0.264683 0.375116
2025-09-14 0.008017 0.027632 0.060938 0.112584 0.183987 0.274045 0.391592
2025-09-21 0.007630 0.027806 0.062755 0.117502 0.193663 0.290119 0.416390
2025-09-28 0.006469 0.026171 0.061557 0.117992 0.197357 0.298583 0.431775
2025-10-05 0.006770 0.027780 0.065698 0.126312 0.211672 0.320645 0.464122
2025-10-12 0.005255 0.024996 0.062401 0.123585 0.210923 0.323398 0.472407
2025-10-19 0.004950 0.025034 0.063835 0.127870 0.219751 0.338465 0.496104
2025-10-26 0.004209 0.023818 0.063028 0.128735 0.223847 0.347418 0.512148
2025-11-02 0.003597 0.022795 0.062476 0.129935 0.228375 0.356919 0.528885